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In our two papers, we analyze how changes in personal and functional (wages versus profits) income distribution interact to produce different macroeconomic outcomes in different countries. On the basis of a stock-flow consistent model calibrated for the United States, Germany, and China, simulations suggest that a substantial part of the increase in household debt and the decrease in the current account in the United States since the early 1980s can be explained by the interplay of rising (top-end) household income inequality and certain institutions (e.g. easy access to credit, privately financed education and health care systems).

A recent policy brief by Blanchard (2016), based on an earlier paper (Blanchard, Cerutti, Summers 2015) raises a number of interesting points concerning the NAIRU and the Phillips Curve, which are further discussed in the comment on the paper by Ball (2015).

State-issued digital money may avoid some pitfalls of cryptocurrency, but it’s no financial panacea

“You never want a serious crisis to go to waste. …This crisis provides the opportunity for us to do things that you could not before.” This YSI Webinar and Reading Group aims to contribute to the historicization of the Global Financial Crisis of 2008 and its repercussions.

ProMarket’s new “Addendum to Retraction,” written it appears in response to our recent INET post, doubles down on its critique of our piece which showed that it is feasible for increased output to lead to reduced welfare. The ProMarket addendum is notable for its economic errors.*

Struggles over shadow money today echo 19th century struggles over bank deposits.

Despite post-2008 regulations, the boom-bust credit cycle continues to run wild

Affordability of electricity and concerns about fossil fuel pollution, water resources, and job loss, have driven a rebellion against data centers that is both grassroots and bipartisan. It’s time for cleaner, faster and cheaper solutions.

I am late to the party on the inventive use of copper by Chinese companies seeking alternative sources of funds.

Does the COVID recession still have the potential to turn into a broader financial meltdown?

Stock flow consistent macroeconomic models suffer from the lack of a coherent estimation method due to the complicated nature of the modeling process.

From the Rust Belt to Rural America, Economic and Social Distress Helped Shape the 2016 US Presidential Election Outcome

Adam Tooze discusses his new book with Rob Johnson

In honor of the just-announced Nobel Prize in Economics for Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson, and James Robinson, we re-post an Economics and Beyond podcast episode from last year, featuring Johnson, discussing Johnson and Acemoglu’s latest book, Power and Progress.

This research project investigates the rise of federal credit programs in the United States, leading to a better understanding of the development of federal credit programs.

Why do market-centric fixes for “unequal exchange” fall short? Sidelining social relations and production power turns colonialism into a pricing problem—and hides the mechanisms that keep uneven development in place.

The Risk Society

It’s time for business executives, employees, and taxpayers to come together to help get us out of the pandemic and create conditions for a sustainable and equitable future

Is raising required bank capital the answer?

An election has failed to resolve a political deadlock that coincides with long-term economic stagnation

The “dean of short sellers” says bitcoin is the last thing he’d want to own in the event of a catastrophe.

A Bank for International Settlements study says 60+ trillion dollars of off-the-books currency swaps could be a profound, systematic risk. Robert Johnson joins Paul Jay on theAnalysis.news.

Analyzing corporate conference calls reveals the way that countries perceive and spread risk through the global financial system

Focusing on what money really is – whether gold or state fiat – shifts attention away from what credit really is, which is to say away from the center of discontent.

New topics and approaches make their way into two recent conferences on the history of economics

Sometimes a radical path is the most practical way out of a mess.

Ratner and Sim’s “Who Killed the Phillips Curve – A Murder Mystery”

The Institute recently sponsored several panels at the Kiel Global Economic Symposium. In particular, the panel on Income Distribution and Mobility struck us as likely to be of especially wide interest. We are grateful for the participation of all the scholars on them and are pleased to present summaries of their presentations here.

The American state has lost the capacity for concentrated and decisive effort at the forefront of technology and the associated science.

Despite post-2008 regulations, the boom-bust credit cycle continues to run wild

Researchers find that the nation had become an outlier among other rich countries in mortality rates long before the pandemic – and that Americans are dying younger than their peers abroad.

It would be a tragic mistake to read anti-E.U. sentiment across Europe as simple bigotry — racism and xenophobia are being nurtured by the economic pain produced by prevailing economic policies

Between a rock and a hard place

When an economic model fails, it is reality—and the people living in it—who pay the bills while the model lives on, unscathed.

Beijing’s leaders face a critical dilemma over a credit boom that imperils China’s prospects for a smooth transition to a sustainable economic path

Adair Lord Turner, former Chairman of Great Britain’s Financial Services Authority and current Senior Fellow at the Institute for New Economic Thinking, will argue in a keynote address to the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago on Thursday that central banks must be equipped in future to address the dangers of excessive private sector leverage, using both pre-emptive interest rate policy and macro-prudential policy tools.

Political theorist Wendy Brown explores new threats to democracy and society

On the reflexive relationship between inflation and inflation narratives

Germany’s debt brake and EU fiscal rules will make it well neigh impossible for EU countries to fund the investments needed to decarbonize their economies.

You have the power to reframe and reimagine the 21st century.

Is an ancient financial taboo keeping us from prosperity? Adair Turner, author of a new book on global finance, explains.

Regardless of what Trump says, the economic pain of the pandemic isn’t going anywhere

In Treasury markets, there are no libertarians, only grateful recipients of single-payer insurance for ailing financial markets.

The Utah Project on Antitrust and Consumer Protection hosted a conference on the future of consumer financial services law on October 11, 2024, which was supported by an INET grant.

How will climate change influence economic sustainability?

Author and Jungian analyst Steven Herrmann discusses the concept of “spiritual democracy” as explored in the writings of American poets like Walt Whitman, Herman Melville, and Emily Dickinson.

The United States government openly flirting with a default on its debt is, to the financial system, like a Pope wondering out loud about the existence of God.

This paper responds to a paper by Claudio Borio, Piti Disyatat and Anna Zabai “Helicopter Money: the Illusion of a Free Lunch”

There needs to be a safe place for businesses to place their reserves and working capital

As you may remember, I had decided to cease contributing to this blog a few months ago. Nevertheless, I thought I could use my completely illegitimate administrator rights to post one last piece dealing with the recent events in France

To understand the rise of the League and 5 Star Movement, look at economic indicators

Marc Lavoie discusses the methodological foundations of heterodox economics, and offers a very different model of money and credit, firms and pricing, consumer theory, effective demand and employment and growth theories.

Rapid private-debt growth threw Japan into crisis in 1991 and did the same to the United States and Europe in 2008. China may be next.

“To save the economy, you have to save people first, is the title of a paper by Alvelda, Ferguson and Mallery of the Institute for New Economic Thinking. This work groups countries into three categories, according to the response to the covid: those that gave priority to maintaining economic life; those who focused on taking care of health first and those who wanted to be placed in the middle, but did not do either one well. The best economic results correspond to those who prioritized health. They are countries that are in Asia and Oceania, mainly. The worst are in the other two groups. Those who did not define one or the other, got the worst of both worlds: many deaths and great economic damage. What can be done? Alvelda, Ferguson, and Mallery recommend targeted subsidies by regions and sectors hardest hit; guarantee income for workers in non-essential activities and subsidize health safety measures for all those who cannot stop. This means, among other things, public money to make public transport and some massive workplaces more sanitary. Subsidize supervision / surveillance measures in spaces where many people go: shopping centers and places of religious worship, for example.” — Luis Miguel Gonzalez, El Economista (translated from Spanish)

This resarch project examines the economic theory, policy, and international political economy of cross border finance in the run up to and in the wake of the global financial crisis of 2008.

The Chinese property market may finally be boiling over; there are certainly enough signs that the bubble is ready to burst.

The state has long used law to back private money—with dire consequences, then and now

This research project creates a computational model of the current financial crisis to discover the essential elements needed to reproduce the crisis, while investigating alternative policies that may have reduced its intensity and strategies for recovery.

In “celebration” of the late Pete Peterson’s 92nd birthday (see guest list), an excerpt from 19th Century historian Lord Macaulay’s History of England, on hundreds of years of unwarranted panic about government debt.

Over five phased announcements last week, the Indian government set in motion an unprecedented fiscal stimulus. Gaurav Dalmia looks at India’s near-term economic challenges and offers a prescription on how privatisation can help India achieve its objectives.

The Marshall Lectures often provide thought provoking talks and one talk in particular spoke to me looking at the relationship between history and economics:

The crisis of the export led model in the EMU countries and its monetary and financial consequences on European integration.

It’s Nobel Prize time again. And what a beautiful prize this year it is!

How electric and self-driving cars could change the industry

The text below is the comment I offered on Mr. Soros’ opening speech at INET’s Berlin Conference April 12, 2012. The text of Mr. Soros’ own speech is here. Video of the entire session is below—my bit starts at 55:00.

Attendees at the book party were treated to an assortment of wine, sushi, and intriguing conversation on the rooftop of Schiffrin’s parents’ Upper West Side apartment.

This research project combines 140 years of economic history with state-of-the-art econometric methods to gain new insights into the relationship between finance, growth, and crises.

This research project examines the relationship between the creation of money, price formation, and income flows, assuming no restrictions to the volume of credit, while abstracting from the existence of speculative crises and the role of the public sector in the process of monetary creation.

There is now a growing consensus among policymakers and academics that a key element to improve safeguards against financial instability is to strengthen the “macroprudential” orientation of regulatory and supervisory frameworks.

After FTX’s collapse, crypto looked finished. Yet Washington revived it, culminating in Trump’s GENIUS Act and a surprising Democratic shift. How much did money and affluence predict pro-crypto votes, amid widening deregulation and cyber risk?

A comment on the Securities and Exchange Commission’s proposed rule “Share Repurchase Disclosure Modernization”

To connect across difference is the only thing that will save us from rule by the privileged few.

In persisting with its high rates policy, the Fed is acting like James Dean in the famous “chicken run” auto race in Rebel Without a Cause.

This research project examines the long process of innovation at Fair Isaac, the analytics firm behind the FICO scoring system.

There has been an important movement towards making available on the web a host of open courses.

Andrea Gabor, author of “After the Education Wars,” discusses how California is pushing back on millionaire-driven charter schools. Will the rest of the America follow?

Business Insider quotes and cites William Lazonick’s INET-funded research on Boeing’s stock buybacks. Cross-posted in MSN, Yahoo Finance, Business News, AOL, News Break, Star News, and Web Today.

The contrasting ideologies at play in this tech sector mirror the conflicting ideologies in economics

Renowned journalist and author Chris Hedges talks about the many ways traditional media, digital media, and the two political parties have worked to prevent progressive movements and give rise to the growth of the extreme right

As the government shutdown drags on, official economic data has slowed to a crawl, leaving policymakers, markets, and citizens increasingly reliant on private-sector numbers. That’s a problem.

China released quarterly GDP figures this week. Wen Jiabao emphasized the parts of the release that pointed toward stabilization, and one can certainly find some logic to that view.

Yide Qiao, the Secretary General of Shanghai Development Research Foundation, talks about the political, economic, and military dimensions of US-China relations

Prolific author and philosopher Ervin Laszlo discusses his most recent books, in which he outlines how the latest discoveries in science converge with spiritual insights and point to the ways in which society might evolve in ways that will help overcome contemporary crises.

The Institute of New Economic Thinking Young Scholars Initiative (INET YSI) Working Group on the History of Economic Thought is organizing a YSI Workshop on Institutions and Communities in the History of Economic Thought on 6 June in Madrid, Spain, ahead of the Annual ESHET Conference

The Institute of New Economic Thinking Young Scholars Initiative (INET YSI) Working Group on the History of Economic Thought is organizing a YSI Workshop on Institutions and Communities in the History of Economic Thought on 6 June in Madrid, Spain, ahead of the Annual ESHET Conference.

Fears that bank regulation or capital controls could lead to a “balkanisation” of global capital markets are overstated and should not constrain policy action to address the problems created by volatile short term capital flows and excessive credit creation, says Adair Turner, Senior Fellow at the Institute for New Economic Thinking and former chairman of the United Kingdom Financial Services Authority.

NLSIU was the first National Law University established in India to pioneer legal education reforms. The University has remained a leader in the field of legal education in India for over 30 years. NLSIU has been consistently ranked No 1 in the National Institutional Ranking Framework since 2018 – the year when NIRF law rankings was introduced.

A story spanning thousands of years, there is far more to China’s market reformation than many Western scholars might have you believe.

This research project captures systemic risk of the credit market by combining information about the level of fragility of individual economic entities with the network structure of their mutual credit exposures.

Language has always been a way to divide, conquer, classify, and control, but it also helps to constitute who we are and what we think. 

The most crucial issue in European policy, and one on which no big party campaigned and no important public discussion took place, was the fiscal policy stance for the next few years.

Does general equilibrium theory sufficiently enhance our understanding of the economic process to make the entire exercise worthwhile, if we consider that other forms of thinking may have been ‘crowded out’ as a result of its being the ‘dominant discourse’? What, in the end, have we really learned from it?

Creating the post-2008 global safety net for mega-banks

And electric vehicles don’t do a lot better

The monetary-fiscal policy connection is under scrutiny by the German Constitutional Court in the context of the ECB’s OMT bond-buying programme. This column argues that most analyses are deeply flawed by the misapplication of private-company default principles to the central bank. ECB bond-buying transforms public bonds into monetary base, and sovereign-default risk into inflation risk. The real question is: What is the non-inflationary limit to money-base expansion? This depends upon the economic situation and is much higher in the current liquidity-trap setting.

As in previous years, young scholars will come together in Trento during the annual Festival dell’Economia. This gathering will serve as the YSI Europe Convening for 2018. Attendees will have the opportunity to share their work with YSI members from across Europe, while also partaking in the Festival dell’Economia.