Imperfect Knowledge

Imperfect Knowledge Economics develops macroeconomic models that are open to unforeseeable structural change and avoid the presumption that market participants are irrational. This program is also developing econometric methodology that is suitable for testing time-series implications of IKE models.

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  1. New Developments in the Economics of Imperfect Knowledge

    Featuring Roman Frydman, Anders Rahbek, Morten Tabor, and David Hendry

    Oct 22, 2017 | 03:30

    How we can create useful economic theory that recognizes that the future is radically uncertain?

  2. How Can We Create a Financial System That Is Socially Useful?

    Featuring Dirk Bezemer, Andy Haldane, John Kay, and Katharina Pistor

    Apr 13, 2012 | 06:55—08:45

    Many feel that due to its size and scale the financial system has become a burden on society rather than a servant to it. What are the key elements of a productive financial sector?

  3. What Can Economists Know? Rethinking the Foundations of Economic Understanding

    Featuring Nancy Cartwright, Roman Frydman, Gerd Gigerenzer, and Roger Guesnerie

    Apr 11, 2012 | 11:00—02:00

    The economics profession stands on the fragile foundation of presuppositions adopted by professional agreement rather than as a result of empirical observation.

  4. Human Decisions

    Featuring Antonio Damasio

    Apr 11, 2012 | 03:00—04:45

    The human brain relies on three devices for its decisions: emotion controls; addictive learning; and intellectual processing. Understanding the conditions under which the three devices are engaged is essential for conscious decision-making.

  5. Financial Stability Working Group

    Featuring Dan Awrey, Co-Pierre Georg, Arie Krampf, and Alberto Russo

    Apr 5, 2013 | 08:30—10:45

  6. The Imperfect Knowledge Economics (IKE) Approach to Modeling An Open World

    Featuring Nicholas Mangee, Peter Sullivan, Morten Tabor, Olesia Kozlova, and Josh Stillwagon

    Apr 4, 2013 | 09:50—10:30

  7. Instability in Financial Markets: Sources and Remedies

    Featuring Domenico Delli Gatti, Michael Goldberg, Steve Keen, and Moritz Schularick

    Apr 13, 2012 | 10:00—12:05

    What creates instability in financial markets? How does the weight of debt, the structure of expectations, or radical uncertainty contribute to instability?

  8. The Future of Central Banking

    Featuring Charles Goodhart, Richard Koo, Liu Mingkang, and Adam Posen

    Apr 5, 2013 | 02:30—04:30

  9. Paradigm Lost

    Featuring Rob Johnson

    Apr 11, 2012 | 09:15—10:15

  10. Time and Expectations in Economic Analysis

    Featuring Sheila Dow, Roman Frydman, Roger Guesnerie, and George Soros

    Apr 4, 2013 | 08:45—09:45

  11. Macroeconomic Policy and Economic Stability: Lessons of the Historical Experience with Fiat Money and the Implications for the Future

    Featuring Adair Turner

    Apr 3, 2013 | 11:30—12:30

  12. The Economics of Radical Uncertainty

    Featuring Angus Burgin, Paul Ormerod, and Eric Weinstein

    Apr 10, 2014 | 11:00—12:30

  13. George Soros on the Future of Europe

    Featuring George Soros

    Apr 10, 2015 | 03:30

  14. Reflexivity and Knightean Uncertainty: Implications for Economics

    Featuring Roman Frydman, Cars Hommes, and Alex Rosenberg

    Apr 10, 2014 | 02:45—04:00

  15. World Economic Roundtable

    Explaining a Decade of Stagnation: Where Do We Go From Here?

    Discussion

    Dec 14, 2017

    The World Economic Roundtable seeks to help the business, investment, and policy communities understand ongoing changes in the world economy and to promote a discussion of ideas that can advance the goal of a widely shared global prosperity.