History
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Governance in Africa
Oct 29, 2015
A combination of leeway within the government and constitutional immunity during incumbency enables office holders to abuse their budget at will, which in turn creates a crisis of growth in Africa, relative to other parts of the world.
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Working Paper Series
Innovative Enterprise or Sweatshop Economics? In Search of Foundations of Economic Analysis
Oct 2015
By integrating the history of industrial development in Britain and the United States with the ideas of leading economic thinkers, this essay demonstrates the absurdity of perfect competition as the ideal of economic efficiency.
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Working Paper Series
When Credit Bites Back: Leverage, Business Cycles and Crises
Oct 2015
This paper studies the role of credit in the business cycle, with a focus on private credit overhang.
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Working Paper Series
The Cyclically Adjusted Budget: History and Exegesis of a Fateful Estimate
Oct 2015
This paper traces the evolution of the concept of the cyclically adjusted budget from the 1930s to the present.
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Theory vs data, computerization, old wine and new bottles
Oct 24, 2015
In 1953, Oskar Morgenstern proposed to reform the eligibility criterion for fellows of the Econometric Society, in an attempt to foster empirical work.
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Institute Grantee Appointed Central Bank Governor
Oct 20, 2015
The Institute extends its congratulations to Philip Lane, who has been named to succeed Patrick Honohan as the Irish central bank chief, and inherit his role on the council of the ECB.
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Matching the Moment, But Missing the Point?
Oct 19, 2015
This essay critically evaluates the benefits and costs of the dominant methodology in macroeconomics, the DSGE approach. Although the approach has led to great progress in some areas, it has also created biases and blind spots in the profession that hold back our understanding and our ability to govern the macroeconomy. There is great scope for progress in macroeconomics by judiciously pushing the boundaries of some of the methodological restrictions imposed by the DSGE approach.
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What Really Caused the Crisis & What to Do About It
Oct 14, 2015
Adair Turner discusses his new book, Between Debt and the Devil: Money, Credit, and Fixing Global Finance.
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Big Finance, Demystified
Oct 8, 2015
John Kay shares findings from his new book, Other People’s Money, and his insights on changing the financial sector.
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$1.90 Per Day: What Does it Say?
Oct 6, 2015
The World Bank’s global poverty estimates suffer from deep-seated problems arising from a single source, the lack of a standard for identifying who is poor and who is not that is consistent and meaningful.
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Is the Devil in the Details? Estimating Global Poverty
Oct 3, 2015
Economists’ assumptions, even about seemingly “small” matters, make an enormous difference to global poverty estimates but their impact often goes unnoticed, and the choices made have been badly justified. We must stop pretending that the World Bank’s “$1 per day” estimates are at all reliable.
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Working paper
Religious Riots and Electoral Politics in India
Sep 2015
The effect of ethnic violence on electoral results provides useful insights into voter behaviour and the incentives for political parties in democratic societies.
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Fiscal Austerity & Greece
Sep 24, 2015
Professor Richard Portes discusses the problems of Europe and then specifically drills down into Greece itself.
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Travelling Knowledge and Tools
Sep 15, 2015
News about a wonderful workshop, “Knowledge Transfer and Its Contexts”
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The Death of Neo-Liberalism
Aug 20, 2015
The financial crisis of 2008 was not a run of the mill recession.