Finance
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Working Paper Series
Tracking Variation in Systemic Risk at US Banks During 1974-2013
Jul 2015
This paper proposes a theoretically based and easy-to-implement way to measure the systemicrisk of financial institutions using publicly available accounting and stock market data.
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Greece, Goldman Sachs, and the Dark Side of International Finance
Jul 28, 2015
Dubious transactions and flimsy accounting standards need scrutiny.
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China’s stock market crash reveals financial policy tensions
Jul 24, 2015
The unprecedented intervention by China’s authorities to backstop China’s stock market reveals widening policy tensions in China’s leaderships financial reform agenda.
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What Happened to China’s Stock Market and Why You Should Care
Jul 23, 2015
The sharp and sudden plunge scared everyone. Can the Chinese government get control of the market?
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Debt-driven Growth: The decade prior to the Great Recession
Jul 22, 2015
The recent financial crisis has impressively illustrated the dangers of rapid credit growth in a painful way.
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EU refuses to acknowledge mistakes made in Greek bailout
Jul 21, 2015
As I write this it would be appear that the Greek crisis is finally coming to an end. In this report I would like to discuss why the negotiations were so fraught and what an agreement actually means. In a nutshell, the EU sought to address matters with the same kinds of measures that had been tried in the past, while Greece argued that doing so would not make things any better—and would in fact make them far worse.
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Latest Institute Grants Announced
Jul 17, 2015
The Institute for New Economic Thinking has awarded $2 million in grants to fund 21 different projects as part of the latest round of its research grant program.
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How Dated Theories & Underlying Research Misguide Policy
Jul 15, 2015
The financial crisis of 2008 was unforeseen to a significant extent. One reason is that the dominant academic theories influencing political decision makers ignore recent advances and instead rely largely on models and decision science dating back to the Second World War.
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Credit Booms & Credit Busts
Jul 9, 2015
There is now a growing consensus among policymakers and academics that a key element to improve safeguards against financial instability is to strengthen the “macroprudential” orientation of regulatory and supervisory frameworks.
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Conference paper
Myths, Mix-ups and Mishandlings: What Caused the Eurozone Crisis?
Jul 2015
The Eurozone crisis has been wrongly interpreted as either a crisis of fiscal profligacy or of deteriorating unit-labour cost competitiveness (caused by rigid labour markets), or a combination of both.
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Greece, Europe, and the Future: The Institute Perspective
Jul 8, 2015
The thunder from the Greek “No” vote in the referendum on Sunday, July 5 continues to roll around the world.
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How German Economists Really Think
Jul 7, 2015
A survey on behalf of the Sueddeutsche Zeitung indicates that German economists are much more American in their thinking than is presumed – with a rising trend.
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Why 'Grexit' could be good for Greece
Jul 7, 2015
It is a shame that Greece was unable to manage its finances and is now slipping into chaos. But this outcome was inevitable and could not be permanently averted with loans from the international community.
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Sinn Advises Greece to Reinstate the Drachma
Jul 6, 2015
It is time for Greece to make a daring leap and adopt its own currency, says Ifo President Hans-Werner Sinn. “The drachma should be introduced immediately as a virtual currency,” Sinn said in Munich.
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Grexit: The Staggering Cost Of Central Bank Dependence
Jul 5, 2015
The ECB has decided to maintain its current level of emergency liquidity to Greece (ECB 2015). By refusing to extend additional emergency liquidity, the ECB has decided that Greece must leave the Eurozone. This may be a legal necessity or a political judgement call, or both. Anyway, it raises a host of unpleasant questions about the treatment of a member country and about the independence of the central bank.