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This research project examines the informational inefficiency of market prices in the presence of Knightian uncertainty or ambiguity by modeling the decision making of financial market traders.

This paper argues that (i) we have reached “peak GenAI” in terms of current Large Language Models (LLMs); scaling (building more data centers and using more chips) will not take us further to the goal of “Artificial General Intelligence” (AGI); returns are diminishing rapidly; (ii) the AI-LLM industry and the larger U.S. economy are experiencing a speculative bubble, which is about to burst.

Banks are pushing for deregulation and roll backs of Dodd-Frank’s regular check-ups on their financial health. We should be worried. 

Yes, it is a tale of two nations, but in a much broader way than you think. Not just England and Scotland, but an equally salient parallel between Great Britain and Canada.

Why all of the fuss about a nonexistent emergency?

The “keys under the streetlight story” is well known among economists, but in case you haven’t heard it, it goes like this.

Facebook engaged in an elaborate bait and switch on user data: Privacy disappeared when competition did. Laws governing competition could change that.

INET Advisory Board members Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff today issued a response to recentcriticism of their paper “Growth in a Time of Debt.” Their response in full is below.

The best-known China bear says the emperor is not yet naked, but getting there.

Advisory Board members Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff today issued a response to recent criticism of their paper “Growth in a Time of Debt.”

This year’s New Hampshire primary testifies to the disintegration of the Republican Party

Many indicators say the US is close to full employment: Hours of work tell a different story.

Famed short-seller is even more concerned with political fallout from Evergrande than economic/financial woes.

In China, the government uses the purses strings of state-owned enterprises to control social unrest

Back-room deals on corporate tax reform won’t increase growth