Finance
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How Do We Get Out of This Mess?
Feb 5, 2013
That’s the question that Adair Turner, Chair of the UK Financial Services Authority, was addressing in his lecture to Cass Business School this week.
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Fixing finance: The missing piece in banking reform
Jan 10, 2013
Eric Beinhocker and Tony Dolphin argue that lasting reform to the financial sector will not be achieved without tackling the price rigging and anti-competitive behaviour that is rife in the industry.
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Azim Premji Winter School 2013
WorkshopJan 6–17, 2013
The Azim Premji University-Institute for Economic Thinking Advanced Graduate Workshop in Poverty, Development and Globalization is interested in identifying the complex global interactions that influence poverty and development as well as the development strategies that have proven successful in promoting equitable growth, promoting capabilities, and reducing poverty.
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Years granted:
2011, 2012, 2013
Model Complexity and Prediction Error in Macroeconomic Forecasting
This research project extends proven techniques in statistical learning theory so that they cover the kind of models and data of most interest to macroeconomic forecasting.
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Years granted:
2011, 2012, 2013
Policy Implications of Darwinian Versus Newtonian Views of the Economy
This research project considers and casts doubts on the stationarity properties of macroeconomic data that are key to New Classical models with implications for the understanding of long-term economic growth, shorter term business cycles, stabilization policy, and industrial and development policy.
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Years granted:
2011, 2012, 2013
A Failure to Communicate? Central Bank Guidance in Good Times and Bad
This research project aims to better understand the impact of various forms of central bank communication by blending techniques from psychology and political science.
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Years granted:
2012, 2013
Geometric Marginalism
This research project provides the mathematics for a second marginal revolution enabling the natural modeling of heterogeneous agents with unstable beliefs, fully dynamic preferences, and allowances for an increased level of self-inconsistency.
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Years granted:
2011, 2012, 2013
An Agent-Based Model of the Current Economic Crisis
This research project creates a computational model of the current financial crisis to discover the essential elements needed to reproduce the crisis, while investigating alternative policies that may have reduced its intensity and strategies for recovery.
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Years granted:
2011, 2012, 2013
A Spatial Approach to Macroeconomic Inference
This research project uses spatial cross-sectional variation in addition to time series variation to estimate fiscal multipliers; the impact of anti-predatory lending laws on housing prices, default rates, and foreclosures; and the impact of raising wages during recessions.
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Years granted:
2011, 2012, 2013
In Search of the Financial Accelerator
This research project explores how the output of firms outside of the financial sector is affected by the health of the banks and other financial institutions.
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Years granted:
2011, 2012, 2013
Developing a Case for Emotional Finance
This research project explores ways to influence policy, starting with selected UK regulators, pension funds, and asset management groups, by testing the feasibility of “emotional finance” solutions to the prevention of future financial crises.
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Years granted:
2013
Finance Without Crises
This research project examines the relationship between the creation of money, price formation, and income flows, assuming no restrictions to the volume of credit, while abstracting from the existence of speculative crises and the role of the public sector in the process of monetary creation.
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Grantee paper
Time Series Forecasting: Model Evaluation and Selection Using Nonparametric Risk Bounds
Nov 2012
We derive generalization error bounds — bounds on the expected inaccuracy of the predictions — for traditional time series forecasting models.
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Grantee paper
Conventions and the European Periphery
Nov 2012
The European periphery is qualitatively dierent from the core.
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Grantee paper
Modeling Moments of Crisis: The Case of Ireland
Nov 2012
Ireland has experienced a series of interlocking banking, fiscal, unemployment and political crises since 2007.