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Article
Trade in the Time of Trump
Apr 8, 2025
Trump ran in both 2016 and 2024 on a promise to reverse the deindustrialization caused by globalization and free trade, using tariffs as his main tool. But the critical question now is: Can it work?
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Article
Opening Models of Asset Prices and Risk to Non-Routine Change
Apr 17, 2012
Paper revised for the Institute’s Plenary Conference in Berlin
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YSI Event
YSI @ ATGENDER
Participate in a conference session organized by YSI Gender and Economics Working Group
YSI
DiscussionApr 19–20, 2017
The YSI Working group on Gender and Economics invites young scholars to partake in their session at the ATGENDER spring conference
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Article
A Better Bailout Was Possible
Sep 20, 2018
Back in 2008, a critical opportunity was missed when the burden of post-crisis adjustment was tilted heavily in favor of creditors relative to debtors. The result was not only prolonged stagnation, but also the Republican Party’s embrace of demagogic populism and the election of Donald Trump.
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Article
Macroeconomics Predicted the Wrong Crisis
Sep 10, 2018
Distracted by the perceived threat of a Chinese savings glut, mainstream macroeconomists missed the writing on the wall of the 2008 crisis
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Article
America’s White Collar Middle Class Takes a Terrifying Slide Down the Mobility Ladder
Jul 24, 2018
Alissa Quart’s new book chronicles the pain of a disgruntled class that could change the country’s political landscape.
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Article
Political Economy, Technocracy, and the New Gilded Age
Aug 28, 2017
In this episode of Hidden Forces, host Demetri Kofinas speaks with Robert Johnson, about the political economy, inequality, and the failings of our technocratic institutions.
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Working Paper
Working Paper SeriesLabor Laws and Manufacturing Performance in India: How Priors Trump Evidence and Progress Gets Stalled
Feb 2019
For years, governments in India and much of the developing world have followed the advice of a paper arguing that labor regulations actually hurt workers. The problem? The research was wrong.
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Webinars and Events
The Future of Work | Is This Time Different? Data, Artificial Intelligence & Robots
Webinarwith Jed Kolko, Shivani Nayyar and Siddharth Suri; moderated by Rob Johnson
Oct 6, 2020
Are there aspects of modern technology, made possible by unprecedented computing power and connectivity, that make them distinctively different from previous eras? If so, what are the implications?
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Video
Hysteresis and the Economy
Mar 27, 2024
Do temporary economic shocks like the COVID-19 recession create lasting effects on the economy?
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Article
A Note on the Gender Disparity in Quoted Experts
Feb 26, 2018
Why women experts are denied the same scholarly authority conferred to men, and what we should do about it
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YSI Event
YSI Workshop: Innovation, Economic Complexity and Economic Geography
In collaboration with the Collective Learning Group at the MIT Media Lab in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
YSI
WorkshopAug 5–7, 2018
The workshop aims to bring together experienced researchers with young scholars in the fields of Innovation, Economic Complexity and Economic Geography to understand knowledge accumulation and spillovers through products, people and places. Those interested in interdisciplinary research, especially bridging a gap between these topics are strongly encouraged to apply.
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Article
The Quasi-Inflation of 2021-2022: A Case of Bad Analysis and Worse Response
Feb 2, 2023
Why the conventional tools of the Phillips Curve, NAIRU, potential output, and money-supply growth are useless
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Article
Why Stopping Tax “Reform” Won’t Stop Inequality
Dec 15, 2017
Inequality isn’t driven by taxes—it’s driven by the power of capital in relation to workers
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Working Paper
Grantee paperGreenhouse Gas and Cyclical Growth
Feb 2014
A growth model incorporating dynamics of capital per capita, atmospheric CO2 concentration, and labor and energy productivity is described.