Archive
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Working Paper
Working PaperWill the New European Fiscal Rules Raise the Debt-to-GDP Ratio? An Analysis of the Italian Case
Nov 2025
Investigations into the possible effects of the fiscal consolidations required under the new European fiscal rules on Italy’s debt-to-GDP ratio find that the new governance framework may lead to the pro-cyclical tightening, weaker growth and adverse debt dynamics that characterized earlier phases of EU fiscal governance.
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Working Paper
Working PaperMacroeconomic Modeling in the Anthropocene
Oct 2024
Why the E-DSGE Framework Is Not Fit for Purpose and What to Do About It
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Working Paper
Working PaperGood Policy or Good Luck? Why Inflation Fell Without a Recession
Sep 2024
A major factor in the decline of inflation is the simple fact that America’s workers were, in general, unable to raise their nominal wages in line with the rise in the cost of living
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Working Paper
Working PaperTrump versus Biden: The Macroeconomics of the Second Coming
May 2024
The current paper returns to the key questions of wages and incomes and how wealth effects cripple reliance on interest rates to control inflation.
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Working Paper
Working PaperTilting at Windmills: Bernanke and Blanchard’s Obsession with the Wage-Price Spiral
Apr 2024
How convincing is the model analysis by Bernanke and Blanchard? How empirically relevant are their mechanisms causing inflation – and how robust and plausible are their econometric findings?
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Working Paper
Working PaperThe Art of Paradigm Maintenance: How the ‘Science of Monetary Policy’ tries to deal with the inflation of 2021-2023
Oct 2023
The re-emergence of inflation threw the ‘science of monetary policy’ off the rails. Do the new tweaks to the theory work?
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Working Paper
Working PaperBetting on Black Gold: Oil Speculation and U.S. Inflation (2020-2022)
Jun 2023
Were the sharp increases in prices during 2020-2022 due to fundamental shifts in supply and demand or are they attributable to excessive market speculation?
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Working Paper
Working PaperMyth and Reality in the Great Inflation Debate: Supply Shocks and Wealth Effects in a Multipolar World Economy
Jan 2023
A critical reappraisal of the case in favor of monetary tightening pressed by inflation hawks is overdue.
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Working Paper
Working PaperInflation in the Time of Corona and War: The Plight of the Developing Economies
Nov 2022
Fears of ‘stagflation’ have come back to haunt macroeconomic policy makers all over the globe
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Working Paper
Working PaperInflation in the Time of Corona and War
Jun 2022
Are there alternative, less socially costly, ways to bring inflation down?
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Working Paper
Working Paper SeriesGovernment Deficits and Interest Rates: A Keynesian View
Apr 2022
Contrary to the neoclassical loanable funds theory, historical bond yields show Keynes was right that “convictions” anchor long-term interest rates
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Working Paper
Working Paper SeriesEquality Denied: Tech and African Americans
Feb 2022
EEO-1 employment data document the vast over-representation of Asian Americans and vast under-representation of African Americans at tech companies in recent years. How did this happen?
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Working Paper
Working Paper SeriesRethinking the Role of the Representativeness Heuristic in Macroeconomics and Finance Theory
Dec 2020
Even if psychological factors influence participants’ decision-making, as behavioral economists compellingly argue, incorporating such factors into economic theory would seem to require that market participants adhere to elementary logical rules.
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Working Paper
Working Paper SeriesThe Economics and Politics of Social Democracy: A Reconsideration
May 2020
The popular discontent and rise of ‘populist’ political parties is closely related to the failure of New Labor to navigate social democracy’s dilemma.
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Working Paper
Working Paper SeriesThe EU’s Green Deal: Bismarck’s ‘What Is Possible’ Versus Thunberg’s ‘What Is Imperative’
Apr 2020
This paper considers the ambition, scale, substance and strategy of the European Union’s Green Deal