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Working Paper
Working PaperWill the New European Fiscal Rules Raise the Debt-to-GDP Ratio? An Analysis of the Italian Case
Nov 2025
Investigations into the possible effects of the fiscal consolidations required under the new European fiscal rules on Italy’s debt-to-GDP ratio find that the new governance framework may lead to the pro-cyclical tightening, weaker growth and adverse debt dynamics that characterized earlier phases of EU fiscal governance