Macroeconomic Theory

    Governments turn to macroeconomic theory to help shape policies to manage instability. Current theories do not adequately support our policy needs. Credit markets, income, and employment are all inherently unstable. We need better theory to help us design better institutions and better policies.

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    Wage Moderation and Productivity in Europe

    Recently, our analysis has been questioned by Servaas Storm who has claimed that it is untenable to blame neo-mercantilist Germany for driving a wedge into the Eurozone. [i] It is shown below that Storm’s critique has a certain aplomb, but lacks substance. Read more

    On the Role of Theory and Evidence in Macroeconomics

    This paper, which is prepared for the Inagural Conference of the Institute for New Economic Thinking in King’s College, Cambridge, 8-11 April 2010, questions the preeminence of theory over empirics in economics and argues that empirical econometrics needs to be given a more important and independent role in economic analysis, not only to have some confidence in the soundness of our empirical inferences, but to uncover empirical regularities that can serve as a basis for new economic thinking. Read more