Dr. Jie Chen is University Statistician at the University of Massachusetts, Boston. She has published extensively on scan statistics, applied probability, and Bayesian spatial models. She has also served as a statistical consultant on numerous collaborative projects in both the natural and social sciences. She is also a Director in Research Design and Analysis Core for the UMass Boston/Dana-Farber/Harvard Cancer Center Partnership Program, funded by the National Institute of Health. She received the B.S. from Beijing University in 1986 and the Ph.D. in statistics from University of Connecticut in 1998.
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Conventional wisdom asserts that American politics is becoming more and more tribal. But the chiefs of the tribes share a lot in common: dependence on big money.
Contrary to the dominant media narrative, social issues like racism and sexism on their own can’t explain Trump’s success.
This paper critically analyzes voting patterns in the 2016 U.S. presidential election.
It wasn’t Comey or the Russians. Trump prevailed because his campaign carefully targeted key states with late infusions of big money from private equity, casinos, and other far right contributors, a remarkable wave of donations from small donors, and substantial infusions from the candidate himself.